Wintrust Financial Stock Performance

WTFC Stock  USD 156.04  6.33  4.23%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Wintrust Financial holds a performance score of 16. The firm maintains a market beta of 1.13, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Wintrust Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Wintrust Financial is expected to follow. Please check Wintrust Financial's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Wintrust Financial's historical returns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Wintrust Financial are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Wintrust Financial exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.23
Five Day Return
6.99
Year To Date Return
9.38
Ten Year Return
288.93
All Time Return
1.6 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0131
Payout Ratio
0.1749
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
2.05
Dividend Date
2026-02-19
1
Wintrust Financials SWOT analysis mid-cap bank stock stands out with strong organic growth - Investing.com Nigeria
11/18/2025
 
Wintrust Financial dividend paid on 20th of November 2025
11/20/2025
2
Disposition of 7500 shares by Edward Wehmer of Wintrust Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
3
Westwood Holdings Group Inc. Grows Position in Wintrust Financial Corporation WTFC
12/15/2025
4
Acquisition by Edward Wehmer of 2382 shares of Wintrust Financial at 26.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
5
Wintrust Q4 Earnings Preview What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates
01/14/2026
6
Wintrust Financial Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By 0.22 EPS
01/21/2026
7
Wintrust Financial Margins Hold Near 30 percent Challenging Slower Growth Narratives
01/22/2026
8
Is It Time To Reassess Wintrust Financial After Its Strong MultiYear Share Price Run
01/23/2026
9
Disposition of 1268 shares by Richard Murphy of Wintrust Financial at 146.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
10
Wintrust Upgraded to Buy Heres What You Should Know
01/27/2026
11
Disposition of 735 shares by Thomas Zidar of Wintrust Financial at 146.2 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2026
12
Disposition of 2499 shares by David Stoehr of Wintrust Financial at 146.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/29/2026
13
Disposition of 558 shares by David Lee of Wintrust Financial at 147.42 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
14
Wintrust Financial Insider Sells 82,260.36 in Stock
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow423.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.9 B

Wintrust Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,868  in Wintrust Financial on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,736  from holding Wintrust Financial or generate 21.26% return on investment over 90 days. Wintrust Financial is currently generating 0.3344% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.6039% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Wintrust, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Wintrust Financial is expected to generate 2.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Wintrust Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Wintrust Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 156.04 90 days 156.04 
about 1.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wintrust Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.38 (This Wintrust Financial probability density function shows the probability of Wintrust Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This entails Wintrust Financial market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Wintrust Financial is expected to follow. Additionally Wintrust Financial has an alpha of 0.2658, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wintrust Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wintrust Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wintrust Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
154.45156.04157.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
140.44174.51176.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
150.45152.05153.64
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
156.45171.92190.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wintrust Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wintrust Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wintrust Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wintrust Financial.

Wintrust Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wintrust Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wintrust Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wintrust Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wintrust Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.13
σ
Overall volatility
7.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Wintrust Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wintrust Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wintrust Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wintrust Financial Insider Sells 82,260.36 in Stock

Wintrust Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wintrust Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wintrust Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wintrust Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.7 B

Wintrust Financial Fundamentals Growth

Wintrust Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Wintrust Financial, and Wintrust Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Wintrust Stock performance.

About Wintrust Financial Performance

By analyzing Wintrust Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Wintrust Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Wintrust Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Wintrust Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.07 

Things to note about Wintrust Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wintrust Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Wintrust Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wintrust Financial Insider Sells 82,260.36 in Stock
Evaluating Wintrust Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Wintrust Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Wintrust Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Wintrust Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Wintrust Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Wintrust Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Wintrust Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Wintrust Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Wintrust Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Wintrust Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Wintrust Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Wintrust Stock analysis

When running Wintrust Financial's price analysis, check to measure Wintrust Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wintrust Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Wintrust Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wintrust Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wintrust Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wintrust Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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